Policy Brief  

Macroeconomic Management in Bangladesh: Challenges and Opportunities

This policy brief explores the macroeconomic challenges posed by the politcal upheaval of July-August 2025 and explains that with serious and sustained reform, the country can overcome these hurdles and pursue inclusive growth and development.

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The July–August 2024 turmoil that displaced Sheikh Hasina’ s government poses multiple macroeconomic challenges for the interim government and those that succeed it. Without major reform, Bangladesh risks being caught in a low-income trap. However, if the authorities respond seriously and sustainably, the country has multiple pathways for promoting the recovery needed to achieve rapid economic growth and inclusive development.

Our aim is to identify the challenges, examine them, and suggest ways to take advantage of Bangladesh’s opportunities for growth and development. The essay has the following format. Section 2 reviews the current macroeconomic situation and its trajectory. Section 3 highlights the specific macroeconomic issues that will constrain and most likely block the economic recovery that would return Bangladesh to a viable growth path. Section 4 explores the opportunities that will enable Bangladesh to accelerate economic growth and promote inclusive development. Section 5 suggests measures to create the foundation for recovery and the longer-term transformation of the economy. Section 6 has concluding observations. Separate annexes expand on issues raised in the text.

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