Policy Brief  

A Turbulent Decade: The Changes in Chinese Popular Attitudes toward Democracy

In light of the increasingly aggressive policies and rhetoric of the Chinese government, many came to believe that China may pose a severe threat to democracy and the international order. However, less attention has been paid to Chinese popular attitudes toward democracy and authoritarianism. How does the Chinese public think of democracy in the changing domestic and international environment?

This paper uses a novel data set of Chinese social media posts generated between 2009 and 2017 and investigates the changes in popular attitudes toward democracy in the past decade. Results show that online discussion around democracy has decreased and voices questioning democracy have become pronounced since 2013. While tightened state control is a critical factor shaping popular attitudes, this paper demonstrates that people’s increasing exposure to two types of foreign information has also played into this trend. These information lead to a perception of dissatisfying performance of other countries and an awareness of racial attitudes of the West. Lastly, increasing doubts about democracy are not necessarily translated into a strong authoritarian legitimacy. Instead, online discussion presents a sense of ambivalence toward the two models, and the Chinese regime has continued to face a predicament of legitimacy.

More from this Program

See All Programs

Harvard Kennedy School Releases: China’s Most Generous Report
cover photo of the report

Media Release

Harvard Kennedy School Releases: China’s Most Generous Report

The Rajawali Foundation at Harvard Kennedy School released, “China’s Most Generous – Examining Trends in Contemporary Chinese Philanthropy”, which provides insights into current trends among China’s major donors and recipients.

An Unpredictable President and US-China Relations
US and China flag together.

Video

An Unpredictable President and US-China Relations

Anthony Saich, the director of the Rajawali Foundation Institute for Asia and Daewoo Professor of International Affairs recently spoke at the China Centre, University of Sydney about President Donald J. Trump and his relationship with China.

This talk, entitled “An Unpredictable President and U.S. China Relations”, provides an initial analysis of how a second Trump administration could influence US-China relations forecasting his approach, and figuring out whether he will adopt the role of a deal-maker or take a more combative stance aimed at undermining rivals.

Saich focuses on three key areas of concern: tariffs, Taiwan, and technology controls.

The Rajawali Foundation Institute for Asia and the East Asian Institute (EAI) at the National University of Singapore Forge Academic Partnership

Media Release

The Rajawali Foundation Institute for Asia and the East Asian Institute (EAI) at the National University of Singapore Forge Academic Partnership

The Rajawali Foundation Institute for Asia at the Harvard Kennedy School, Harvard University and the East Asian Institute (EAI) at the National University of Singapore, are delighted to announce a new academic collaboration.

More on this Location

A Conversation with Tony Saich: Mao, Xi, and the Politics of Party History
A photo of the National People's Congress in Beijing, China.

Q+A

A Conversation with Tony Saich: Mao, Xi, and the Politics of Party History

Tony Saich, director of the Rajawali Foundation Institute for Asia, recently sat down for a discussion with the Ash Center on his two upcoming articles comparing the leadership of Mao Zedong and Xi Jinping: “Is Xi Jinping the Mao Zedong of the New Era” (in Notebooks: The Journal for Studies on Power) and “The Chairman of Everything: Mao Zedong and Xi Jinping” (in an edited volume by Benjamin Hillman, Australian National University Press, 2027).

Q & A with Ning Leng, Author of “Politicizing Business: How Firms Are Made to Serve the Party-State in China”
An image from Ning Leng's book cover.

Q+A

Q & A with Ning Leng, Author of “Politicizing Business: How Firms Are Made to Serve the Party-State in China”

Ning Leng, Assistant Professor at the McCourt School of Public Policy at Georgetown University, and former postdoc at the Rajawali Foundation Institute for Asia, answers questions on her newly released book Politicizing Business: How Firms Are Made to Serve the Party-State in China, exploring politics, economy and authoritarian institutions in China.

India: Leaning to One Side (Cautiously)
A cover photo of the report.

Case Study

India: Leaning to One Side (Cautiously)

In a new study for the Middle Powers Project, C. Raja Mohan assesses how India’s national ascent towards global influence faces developmental constraints, maintaining that the country must balance ties with China and the United States to harness its economic potential and situate itself as a leader in the Global South. The Middle Powers Project is in collaboration with the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs.